After myriad mock drafts, plenty of rumors, and endless speculation, the 2015 NFL Draft is upon us. The nature of mock drafts lends to their general lack of accuracy, which is one of the reasons the Online Jargon doesn't try to project what teams will do.
(That, and I don't have any sources within the league.)
Instead, this year's second mock draft is an updated version of what teams should do when they hit the clock Thursday night.
Let's get to the picks.
1. Tampa Bay - Jameis Winston (QB, Florida State)
Vol. 1 pick - Jameis Winston
There is little doubt Tampa Bay will make Jameis Winston the no. 1 overall pick Thursday night, but there has been plenty of speculation as to whether or not Winston is the right pick.
Well, he is ... by a nose.
The Bucs are a decent team with a substantial quarterback problem. An investment will need to be made in the offensive line to ensure Winston can stay upright this fall. Winston will immediately have three good receiving options in Mike Evans, Vincent Jackson and Austin Seferian-Jenkins to help ease his transition to the professional game. Winston comes with question marks - his decision-making skills on and off the field leave a bit to be desired - but his advanced on-field skill set gives Winston a slightly higher ceiling than Marcus Mariota.
2. Tennessee - Amari Cooper (WR, Alabama)
Vol. 1 pick - Marcus Mariota
No team in the NFL has a more dire quarterback situation than the Titans, but Marcus Mariota is not a good fit in Tennessee. Ken Whisenhunt covets immobile quarterbacks with a cannon arm, and Mariota is not that player. As the draft draws near, however, it looks increasingly unlikely that Tennessee will remain at no. 2.
If they do, Amari Cooper is their man. Cooper isn't as flashy as Julio Jones, another former Crimson Tide receiver who was drafted in the top 10, but that doesn't mean Cooper isn't as good. Cooper was a force from the day he stepped onto campus in Tuscaloosa, becoming Alabama's offensive superstar despite the parade of five-star running backs to come through Nick Saban's program. Cooper manages to create space for himself more often than not despite his lack of top-end speed. If Zach Mettenberger is to succeed in the NFL, he'll need a reliable no. 1 receiver. Cooper is the best this class has to offer.
3. Jacksonville - Dante Fowler, Jr. (DE/OLB, Florida)
Vol. 1 pick - Leonard Williams
At first glance, the Jaguars appear to be set at defensive end. The team paid a premium to bring Jared Odrick up from Miami, which leaves them set on the left side. However, Chris Clemons will be 34 by mid-season, and his play was largely erratic through the 2014 campaign. Few players in this draft class are as versatile as Fowler, who played all over Florida's front seven during his college career. Fowler's stock rose after the combine, which is a red flag to the Online Jargon brain trust, but Fowler fits one of Jacksonville's biggest needs. A player of Fowler's caliber will not be around in round two.
4. Oakland - Leonard Williams (DL, USC)
Vol. 1 pick - Amari Cooper
Drafting Kevin White would be the most Raiders thing Reggie McKenzie and company could do, especially when the draft's top prospect has fallen into Oakland's lap. Leonard Williams is a versatile defender, capable of playing anywhere on Oakland's defensive line. Williams is garnering comparisons to players like Gerald McCoy and J.J. Watt, and if he can become half the player McCoy or Watt is, Williams will be Oakland's best defensive player. Wide receiver is an area of need, but it is the deepest position in this draft. A quality player should be around when the Raiders are back on the clock at pick no. 35.
5. Washington - Vic Beasley (OLB, Clemson)
Vol. 1 pick - Randy Gregory
Washington has a solid edge rusher in Ryan Kerrigan, but after the departure of Brian Orakpo, Kerrigan is left without a suitable counterpart. This year's crop of pass rushers is top-heavy, and Clemson's Vic Beasley may be the best pure pass rusher of them all. Beasley lacks some of the polish required of successful NFL outside linebackers, but polish can be taught. Beasley's knack for making plays in the opposition's backfield cannot.
6. New York Jets - Marcus Mariota (QB, Oregon)
Vol. 1 pick - Brandon Scherff
Geno Smith is the worst starting quarterback in the NFL. It was a mistake to use a second-round pick on him two years ago, and it would be a mistake to let him start the first regular-season game of the Todd Bowles era. Marcus Mariota is the anti-Smith - a consistent, mature leader who isn't fazed by the bright lights. Mariota would team with Brandon Marshall and Eric Decker to give New York its best passing attack in recent memory, and would provide leadership the team hasn't had at quarterback since Brett Favre made a cameo appearance for the team in 2008.
7. Chicago - Danny Shelton (DT, Washington)
Vol. 1 pick - Shane Ray
Simply saying Chicago's defense was bad last year doesn't adequately describe the unit's shortcomings. From front to back, the Bears' defense was terrible. New defensive coordinator Vic Fangio will make Chicago's defense better just by being in the building, but the defense could really use a foundation to build upon. Danny Shelton is a mountain in the middle, but the 340-pounder also possesses exceptional agility and an above-average ability to rush the passer. Chicago has a long way to go before the Monsters of the Midway days return to Soldier Field, but drafting Shelton is a good place to start.
Vol. 1 pick - Dante Fowler, Jr.
By signing O'Brien Schofield and Adrian Clayborn, Atlanta's pass rush went from moribund to average. The Falcons could still use a true threat off the edge, and at no. 8, the team is still in position to add one of the draft's elite rushers. Concerns regarding the health of Shane Ray's foot had caused some to project a fall for the former Missouri standout. Ray was then arrested Monday morning and cited for possession of marijuana, which has further accelerated Ray's tumble down mock drafts far and wide. Ray's skill set is undeniable, and his motor makes him an even bigger problem for opposing offensive linemen. Critics will point to Ray's short arms or small stature, but the critics have to nitpick to find holes in Ray's on-field play.
9. NY Giants - Brandon Scherff (OL, Iowa)
Vol. 1 pick - Landon Collins
The whole world is projecting Brandon Scherff to come off the board at no. 9, and for good reason. New York's offensive line is abysmal. Scherff played left tackle at Iowa, but projects to right tackle or guard at the pro level. This flexibility will help the Giants, who need help at all three positions. Scherff's mean streak will add an edge to New York's rushing attack, which will surely make free-agent acquisition Shane Vereen's transition to the Big Apple a little easier.
10. St, Louis - Andrus Peat (OT, Stanford)
Vol. 1 pick - Andrus Peat
Like the Giants, the Rams have such a desperate need in the trenches that this pick becomes pretty obvious. Stanford's Andrus Peat is an elite run blocker with developing skills in pass protection. Those skills will have to be refined at the pro level, but Peat has the finish to start for the Rams from day one. Taking an offensive lineman with a top-10 pick in consecutive seasons isn't sexy, but neither is the state of St. Louis' offensive line.
11. Minnesota - Trae Waynes (CB, Michigan State)
Vol. 1 pick - DeVante Parker
Last year's free-agent acquisition of Captain Munnerlyn was supposed to fill the hole at cornerback opposite Xavier Rhodes, but that was not the case. Munnerlyn and Terence Newman provide depth in the secondary, but neither should be starting. Trae Waynes is a tall, fast, physical corner, much like Rhodes. Pairing Waynes with Rhodes would give Minnesota a formidable young duo on the corner, which will help the Vikings compete against the high-powered passing attacks of division rivals Green Bay and Detroit.
12. Cleveland - Kevin White (WR, West Virginia)
Vol. 1 pick- Kevin White
Few teams have needs as bad at Cleveland's need for a wide receiver. Jordan Cameron skipped town and Josh Gordon is suspended again, leaving the Browns with free-agent signings Brian Hartline and Dwayne Bowe. Kevin White is a potential game-breaker capable of taking the top off a defense, something neither Bowe nor Hartline will be doing any time soon. Whomever plays quarterback for the Browns will benefit greatly from having more than a couple of retreads to throw to this season.
13. New Orleans - Alvin Dupree (DE/OLB, Kentucky)
Vol. 1 pick - Trae Waynes
The Saints loaded up on draft picks to help the massive roster overhaul the team is about to begin, and New Orleans needs to focus those picks on their awful defense. Alvin Dupree was incredibly productive on a sub-par team, leaving Lexington as the SEC's active leader in sacks. Dupree will have to work on his separation skills, as he struggled getting away from the country's better offensive tackles. Rob Ryan will have some coaching to do with Dupree, but the former Kentucky Wildcat standout has a nose for the quarterback and should help a Saints defense that ranked 25th in sacks last season.
14. Miami - DeVante Parker (WR, Louisville)
Vol. 1 pick - La'el Collins
Adding Kenny Stills and Jordan Cameron, while replacing Mike Wallace with Greg Jennings, is a step in the right direction, but Ryan Tannehill still needs help. Jennings has little left in the tank, and Cameron has been injury prone throughout his career. Pairing Louisville's 6'3" DeVante Parker with the speedy Stills provides the 26-year-old Tannehill with two young receivers with significant upside and complementary skills.
15. San Francisco - Arik Armstead (DL, Oregon)
Vol. 1 pick - Danny Shelton
A bizarre offseason in San Francisco hit the Niners' front seven especially hard. Once one of the most effective units in football, San Francisco is left with a collection of replacement talent and two former superstars who may never return to their previous form. Even if Justin Smith doesn't retire, San Francisco's starting defensive ends will be 33 and 35 years old on opening day. Arik Armstead is a freak athlete, standing 6'7" and possessing all the tools to become a dominant end. Armstead's immense, but raw, skill set will require significant coaching, but Jim Tomsula is one of the best candidates to do so.
Vol. 1 pick - T.J. Clemmings
For the first time since their inaugural season in 2002, the Houston Texans will begin the year without Andre Johnson on the roster. DeAndre Hopkins effectively ascended to the role of no. 1 wideout last year, and officially takes the mantle this season. Houston added Nate Washington and Cecil Shorts in free agency, but neither provides a true complement to Hopkins. UCF's Breshad Perriman is nearly identical in size to Hopkins, and provides the downfield speed and burst to blow the truly stretch the field. The quarterback situation isn't pretty in Houston, but whomever starts the season under center would be happy to have Hopkins and Perriman at his disposal.
Vol. 1 pick- Melvin Gordon
It's fun to think about a trade involving one of the league's best quarterbacks, but it's just as fun to think about that quarterback having a reliable running back behind him. Philip Rivers hasn't had a reliable option in the backfield since LaDainian Tomlinson left town after the 2009 season, something Gordon would change upon his arrival in San Diego. Opposing defenses knew Gordon would get the ball, and he still finished 2014 with the second-highest single-season rushing total in NCAA history.
18. Kansas City - La'el Collins (OT, LSU)
Vol. 1 pick - Ereck Flowers
Using another first-round pick on a tackle seems strange after selecting one with the top pick in the 2013 NFL draft, but the Chiefs are in dire straits. Eric Fisher may not be the long-term solution at left tackle, and Jeff Allen isn't the long-term solution anywhere on the offensive line. La'el Collins is one of the best run blockers in this class, a mauler who can control the line of scrimmage from day one. Collins will need to work on his pass blocking, but he is at a point that will allow Collins to start for Kansas City right away.
*Note - Mulitple media outlets reported Thursday that Collins will likely go undrafted due to legal trouble. Collins' reported ex-girlfriend was murdered, and although Collins is not currently considered a suspect, NFL teams are reportedly weary. In the NFL, you're guilty until proven innoncent.
19. Cleveland (via Buffalo) - Malcom Brown (DT, Texas)
Vol. 1 pick - Arik Armstead
Cleveland's run defense was terrible last year, but somehow, it still doesn't rank as the team's top need. With Kevin White on board thanks to the no. 12 pick, Cleveland can focus on fixing their porous front seven. Malcom Brown has a rare combination of size, speed and agility, possessing the ability to anchor an NFL defense for years to come. Nothing is certain in the NFL draft, but Brown's skills and upside will project well into a Cleveland defense sorely lacking talent in the trenches.
20. Philadelphia - Landon Collins (S, Alabama)
Vol. 1 pick - Vic Beasley
The Eagles spent money on the corners of their defense, but the safety position still needs significant and immediate attention. Malcolm Jenkins is a sufficient stop-gap, but Earl Wolff doesn't have any business starting in the NFL. Landon Collins is a true thumper, a player who can make a difference in the run and pass game. Collins' aggression can work against him in pass defense, but he can be the type of player to help a secondary in need of difference-makers.
21. Cincinnati - Ereck Flowers (OT, Miami)
Vol. 1 pick- Alvin Dupree
As is often the case with offensive lineman taken outside of the top 10, Ereck Flowers comes with his share of quirks. Flowers often falls victim to poor footwork in pass protection, which would make him a liability, especially on Andy Dalton's blind side. Bengals head coach Marvin Lewis has publicly stated that Cincinnati's first-round pick doesn't necessarily need to start right away. NFL.com compares Flowers favorably to current Bengals tackle Andrew Whitworth, behind whom Flowers can learn the nuances of the pro game before taking over for Whitworth when the 34-year-old veteran leaves Cincinnati.
22. Pittsburgh - Marcus Peters (CB, Washington)
Vol. 1 pick - Marcus Peters
In Vol. 1 of the Online Jargon's mock draft, Marcus Peters was projected to Pittsburgh to fill a desperate need in the secondary. Peters still presents behavioral question marks, but when it comes to talent, Peters is in the same breath as Trae Waynes. Peters would likely come off the board earlier, if not for his dismissal from the Washington football team. Those character red flags will scare most teams off, but Pittsburgh's locker room is more than capable of handling a player like Peters.
23. Detroit - Eddie Goldman (DT, Florida State)
Vol. 1 pick - Malcom Brown
One of the league's best defenses was gutted this winter, as both Ndamukong Suh and Nick Fairley left the Motor City for greener pa$ture$, if you know what I mean. Detroit traded for Haloti Ngata, but the former Ravens standout is a free agent after the season and may not return to the team. Eddie Goldman, a force in the middle of one of college football's best defenses, is the type of physical player that can spend his rookie year learning from Ngata, while taking over the defense whenever Ngata's time in Detroit comes to an end.
24. Arizona - Todd Gurley (RB, Georgia)
Vol. 1 pick - Shaq Thompson
Just as a defensive tackle is an obvious pick for the Lions, running back is a glaring need for the Cardinals. Todd Gurley is considered the draft's top running back prospect by most experts, garnering high enough praise to consider Gurley the best running back prospect since Adrian Peterson. Gurley's torn ACL checked out well this winter, helping quell concerns about his recovery. Even if Gurley isn't back to speed by September, he can share the backfield with incumbent Andre Ellington before become Arizona's feature back by mid-season.
25. Carolina - T.J. Clemmings (OT, Pittsburgh)
Vol. 1 pick - D.J. Humphries
Carolina is in dire need of help up front, and if not for their unlikely trip to the playoffs, the Panthers would be in play for Iowa's Brandon Scherff. Instead, they'll take T.J. Clemmings, a raw, but athletically gifted, prospect with a very high ceiling. Clemmings is a former basketball player who has only played tackle for a couple of years, a la Houston's Duane Brown. Scouts like his natural ability and potential, and if Clemmings can become the player Brown has been for the Texans, Carolina will be rewarded for their patience in developing the former Pittsburgh standout.
26. Baltimore - Dorial Green-Beckham (WR, Missouri)
Vol. 1 pick - Jaelen Strong
This pick comes with a very big asterisk. Dorial Green-Beckham is a supremely talented wide receiver who has been compared to Calvin Johnson, Julio Jones and A.J. Green, but he comes with significant off-the-field issues. Green-Beckham was dismissed from the Missouri football program after incidents involving burglary and marijuana possession, and sat out the 2014 season due to NCAA transfer rules. No team in the league will do as much research into a prospect's background than the Ravens, and if Green-Beckham passes all of Baltimore's requirements, he could become the no. 1 receiver Joe Flacco has been missing throughout his pro career. If Green-Beckham doesn't check out - and he absolutely must for Baltimore to select him - Wake Forest's Kevin Johnson is the pick.
27. Dallas - Kevin Johnson (CB, Wake Forest)
Vol. 1 pick - Todd Gurley
Though a bit smaller than the platonic ideal of an NFL cornerback, Kevin Johnson possesses all of the skills required to succeed at the pro level. Scouts laud Johnson's coverage skills and overall athleticism, which made him a three-year starter at Wake Forest. Johnson only weighs 188 pounds, which may scare off some teams, but weight is something Johnson could easily add upon his NFL arrival. Dallas' defense overachieved in 2014, and if the Cowboys would like to repeat that success this year, adding a player like Johnson is the right move.
28. Denver - Cameron Erving (C, Florida State)
Vol. 1 pick - Cameron Erving
Despite playing at a league-average level, Will Montgomery is not Denver's long-term answer at center. Florida State's Cameron Erving, however, could be. Erving came to Florida State as a defensive lineman, switching to offense just two years ago. Erving was impressive at center, helping lead a Seminoles offensive line bursting with blue-chip recruits. A year behind Montgomery would only allow Erving to get better, though he could start right away for the Broncos.
29. Indianapolis - D.J. Humphries (OT, Florida)
Vol. 1 pick - Eddie Goldman
Despite having one of the league's best quarterbacks, Indianapolis' front office hasn't done a great job protecting Andrew Luck. In need of some help on both sides of the line, D.J. Humphries comes to Indianapolis with a nasty mean streak and the ability to play on the left or right side. Humphries could kick right tackle Gosder Cherilus to guard, shoring up the unit responsible for protecting Indianapolis' meal ticket at quarterback.
30. Green Bay - Eric Kendricks (ILB, UCLA)
Vol. 1 pick - Eric Kendricks
Even if A.J. Hawk stayed in town, the Packers needed to make improvements to their group of inside linebackers. Green Bay doesn't currently have a player listed on their depth chart next to Sam Barrington, further highlighting the team's need at the position. Eric Kendricks is smaller than the average inside linebacker, but he has a non-stop motor and a knack for making plays. Eric's older brother, Mychal, has been starting for the Eagles since he entered the league in 2012, and Eric will show that NFL success runs in the Kendricks family.
31. New Orleans (via Seattle) - Jalen Collins (CB, LSU)
Vol. 1 pick (Seattle) - Dorial Green-Beckham
Adding Brandon Browner to one of the league's worst pass defenses will provide some help, but it isn't enough. Jalen Collins is an incredibly talented defensive back who could become a top-flight corner in the NFL. Collins is raw - he only started 10 games in college - and will need some time to learn the finer points of playing the corner. New Orleans needs defensive talent, and like Alvin Dupree, Collins will be a talent-rich project for defensive coordinator Rob Ryan to develop.
32. New England - Byron Jones (CB, Connecticut)
Vol. 1 pick - Jordan Phillips
Bill Belichick is widely praised for his ability to piece together lesser-known talent to produce a consistent contender. Losing Darrelle Revis and Brandon Browner is going to leave any secondary thin, however, no matter who is coaching the team. Byron Jones shot up draft boards due to his coverage skills, and although his athleticism is closer to average than elite, Jones can become a productive player for the defending champs.